A trading psychology, it is based on how well you know yourself and are able to gain from your strong points, as well as to have power over you weak ones, has much to do with how successful trader you will be. When you really know yourself, then you are familiar of how you are going to react under specific circumstances and you can protect yourself from self-damaging actions or decisions when it comes to managing a trade.The overlapping of psychology and trading is complex. Psychological factors, such as execution of an action with overwhelming sense of apprehension and fear, can interfere with clear-headed decision-making about markets. Many traders put their money at risk without a explainable edge. It is difficult to imagine such kind of trading *not* originate frustration over time. Other traders lock themselves in solid methods, but these may not be accepted with their talents, personalities or skills.
Thursday, June 19, 2008
Psychology
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Capital aka Cash Money
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How Does the Carry Trade Work for Forex(Gen)?
As a forex trader you know that forex trade in pairs, for example you trade USD/JPY that mean’s buying a US dollar and sell JP Yen. So you pay for JPY and collect the USD.Technically, all positions are closed at the end of the day in the spot forex market. Brokers close and reopen your position, and then they debit/credit you the overnight interest rate difference between the two currencies.The amount of leverage available from forex brokers has made the carry trade very popular in the spot forex market. Forex trading is completely margin based, meaning you only have to put up a small amount of the position and you broker will put up the rest.
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The Carry Trade
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What is the U.S. Dollar Index?
How to Use the COT Report
In this section we will show you how to use the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports to accomplish this goal as we will skillfully explain how to break down the COT data into producers, consumers, and funds so you understand the positions and activities of these key market participants. In addition, you will be able to detect position imbalances that could be harbingers of major trend changes.By analyzing the data provided by the COT report, traders can see the market participants prepared or positioned themselves ahead of significant market turning points and in front of extensive bull and bear markets.tracks the positions (longs and shorts) held by all market participants, my analysis further breaks down this data and applies proprietary statistical measurements and indicators to identify trading opportunities. We combine these indicators with proprietary price indicators and graphically present the results to you.
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Commitment of Traders Report
The Commitments of Traders (COT) reports can be a very powerful trading tool to help anticipate market direction as it provides a breakdown of each Tuesday’s open interest for market reports in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC., and it measures the net long and short positions taken by traders in the futures market. Of course, it is very important to know that For reportable positions, additional data is provided for commercial and non-commercial holdings, spreading, changes from the previous report, percents of open interest by category, and numbers of traders
The report is pretty straight forward, but here’s a quick run down of what each category is.
• Non-Commercial – Traders such as individual traders, hedge funds, and financial institutions. who are looking to trade for speculative gains.
• Commercial - These are the big businesses that describes an entity involved in the production, processing, or merchandising of a commodity that uses currency futures to hedge.
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Getting Sentimental with Forex Trading
Sentimental analysis is what it sounds like – gauging the market sentiment. What does that mean? Well, as traders, a part of our job is to determine if a market is bullish, bearish, overbought, oversold, and to plan a trade for those market conditions – basically putting all of the things we’ve learned up until this point all together. So how do we do that? What tools can we use? And how do we react to certain conditions? Well, that’s what we’re going to find out today – we’re going to take a look into sentiment analysis in forex trading.Now there are a couple of ways to gauge different market conditions. Does anyone know what those two things are? You guessed it: technical and fundamental analysis. Now, in the School of Pipsology, we’ve covered most of the commonly used technical indicators out there for forex trading, so you should be an expert at that already right
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Trading the News
Is a popular technique in the forex markets … Everyone wants to trade the news as you can see currency pairs move dramatically within seconds after the release of major news like “The US Retail Sales” and others and it responds not only to U.S. economic news, but also to news from around the world. That’s easy money! Depending on how are you trading this news. So for those who want to trade news there are plenty of opportunities and you will be able to know different strategies through this lesson.Our goal is to make the most of your trading knowledge and we willl provide you with all of the steps needed to know how to trade the news.
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Attention! Do You Have a Trading Plan?
Are you interested in making a lot of profits? There is No need to answer - who isn’t? You can fill your mind with plenty of information, but without a good trading plan and the discipline to stick to it, you will NEVER be profitable.Any profitable traders have a trading plan and they were planning for it very well They also confident of there profit.
“If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail!”
The ideal trading plan model always use is as follows
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ForexGen Putting It All Together

In a perfect world, we could take just one of these indicators and trade strictly by what that indicator told us. The problem is that we DON’T live in a perfect world, and each of these indicators has imperfections. That is why many traders combine different indicators together so that they can “screen” each other.
We urge you to study each indicator on its own until you know EXACTLY how it reacts to price movement, and then come up with your own combination that fits your trading style. Later on in the course, we will show you a system that combines different indicators to give you an idea of how they can compliment each other.
Everything you learn about trading is like a tool that is being added to your trader’s toolbox. Your tools will make it easier for you to “build” your trading account
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Double Bottom
The twice touched low is considered a support level.
Most technical analysts believe that the advance off of the first bottom should be 10-20%. The second bottom should form within 3-4% of the previous low, and volume on the ensuring advance should increase.
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Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
Leading Indicators
An index published monthly by the Conference Board used to predict the direction of the economy’s movements in the months to come. The index is made up of 10 economic components, whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy.
These 5 components include:
1. the average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers.2. The average number of initial applications for unemployment insurance.3. The amount of manufacturer’s new orders for consumer goods and materials.4. The speed of delivery of new merchandise to vendors from suppliers.5. The amount of new orders for capital goods unrelated to defense
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Oscillators
The Stochastic Oscillator comes in 3 flavors: Fast, Slow, and Full. The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator designed to show the relation of the current close price relative to the high/low range over a given number of periods using a scale of 0-100. It is based on the assumption that in a rising market the price(s) will close near the high of the range and in a declining market the price(s) will close near the low of the range. The Full Stochastic Oscillator is calculated by the formula:
Fast %K = ((Today’s Close - Lowest Low in %K Periods) / (Highest High in %K Periods - Lowest Low in %K Periods))
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Lagging Indicators
As it measures the economic activities of previous months, the Composite Index of Lagging Indicators is used as an after-the-fact way to help confirm economists’ assessment of current economic conditions.
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Support and Resistance
The concepts of support and resistance are undoubtedly two of the most important and highly discussed attributes of technical analysis and they are often regarded as a subject that is complex by those who are just learning to trade.
Most experienced traders will be able to tell many stories about how certain price levels tend to prevent traders from pushing the price of an underlying asset in a certain direction.Most technical traders incorporate the power of various technical indicators such as moving averages, to aid in predicting future short-term momentum, but these traders never fully realize the ability these tools have for identifying levels of support and resistance
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Gaining Experience in Trading with ForexGen
Here is one secret that can shorten your learning curve as a forex trader. Get yourself a trade simulator and practise your trading methodology repeatedly till you are consistently profitable before you trade. Practice makes perfect, and you can pick up years of experience as a forex trader within weeks on a trade simulator with a large database of price movements. Read more…
ForexGen Mini Forex Trading Account
For the beginner trader, the use of a mini forex trading account will greatly reduce his risk as he puts into practise whatever he has learnt in forex trading. A mini forex trading account possesses more leverage and a trader can start to trade with very low capital, and therefore reduced risk. In that way, he can start to maintain discipline in trading without worrying too much on losing a big sum of money.
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Manage Risk Profile with ForexGen
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Trend Analysis and The Forex Market with ForexGen
Trend analysis is an indispensable function of the successful Forex trader. Just like a good mechanic or carpenter, having the right tools in your toolbox will make all the difference in your ability to break down trends and trade in the direction of established trends. Following are some essential Forex trend analysis tools to include in your toolbox: Mark the trends using trend linesUsing multiple chart compressions, decide on the overall direction.Use moving averages to distinguish trend direction. Read more…
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What is the truth with ForexGen?
Unlike centralized exchanges (e.g. NYSE, AMEX, CBOE, and etc.), OTC item prices settle upon agreement of two private parties, unregulated. The Forex brokers understand this and exploit it for profit.
These bucket shops trade against the clients, i.e. they serve as market makers and more often than not take the other side of trades against clients. They understand statistically that most financial market traders perform with negative expectancies, hence making trading against a losing crowd profitable business. This aslo explains why they target and welcome financial industry newbies so much.
What about the ones smart enough to eventually trade profitably? These brokers operate to preserve capital, and they resort to whatever means available and prevent consistent winnings off any client. Software disconnects, lagging/fraudulent price quotes, unfilled orders, or simply account banning have become some, certainly not all, common bucket-shop practices.
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