New Zealand Dollar Interest Rate Outlook Weakens Further

The New Zealand dollar pushed higher against the greenback for the fifth consecutive week as oil prices crossed above $50 a barrel for the first time in nearly a month. The rise in crude drove the commodity-based currency to test 0.6000 during the week, but the sharp pullback in global commodity prices paired with the lack of momentum to close above the psychological resistance continues to favor a bearish forecast for the kiwi-dollar.

The New Zealand dollar pushed higher against the greenback for the fifth consecutive week as oil prices crossed above $50 a barrel for the first time in nearly a month. The rise in crude drove the commodity-based currency to test 0.6000 during the week, but the sharp pullback in global commodity prices paired with the lack of momentum to close above the psychological resistance continues to favor a bearish forecast for the kiwi-dollar.

Meanwhile, deteriorating fundamentals paired with financial uncertainties is likely to weigh on growth for the $128B economy throughout the first half of the year, and as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to continue their easing cycle, the interest rate outlook could drag on the kiwi going forward.

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